Archive for November, 2012
Did inequality cause the crisis?
In: Uncategorized
26 Nov 2012The following Fund Strategy cover feature was first published Monday. The notion that high inequality caused the economic and financial crisis that emerged in the US in 2007-08 has become widely accepted. This claim should not be confused with the argument that an unequal society is morally or political undesirable. Instead it holds that according […]
Japan’s failing a warning to West
In: Uncategorized
26 Nov 2012This Perspective column was first published in Monday’s edition of Fund Strategy. It is looking increasingly likely that other advanced economies will follow Japan in suffering a protracted downturn as a result of failing to promote economic restructuring. The news that Japan is holding an election on 16 December reminded me of the biggest surprise […]
The perils of prediction
In: Uncategorized
19 Nov 2012This Perspective column was first published in today’s edition of Fund Strategy. Whenever encountering any kind of forecast it is always best to remember a wise maxim: “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future”. The saying, or variations of it, is attributed to many different people. It is true of short-term forecasts […]
- Tags: America, china, economics, Fund Strategy
Debate at Queen Mary University
In: Uncategorized
14 Nov 2012I will be speaking in a debate on whether capitalism has failed at 6.30pm on Tuesday 20 November at Queen Mary University of London. More details can be found here.
Sabbath in Jerusalem
In: Uncategorized
13 Nov 2012Walk around the streets of Jerusalem during the day on Saturday, the Jewish sabbath, and you get a sense of the divisions that afflict the city. Although these are most visibly religious, cultural and political they have economic implications too. Perhaps the most conspicuous inhabitants of the city are to be found among its ultra-religious […]
- Tags: economics, Fund Strategy, Middle East
Franco-German rift in eurozone
In: Uncategorized
12 Nov 2012This Perspective column was first published in today’s edition of Fund Strategy. Are France and Germany having a slight tiff or are they heading for a break-up? The answer has important implications for the future of the eurozone. France’s last president, Nicolas Sarkozy, was so close to Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, they were known […]
- Tags: economics, Europe, finance, Fund Strategy, Germany
Prospects for the euro carry trade
In: Uncategorized
10 Nov 2012This article for the November issue of IPE (Investment & Pensions Europe) magazine is more technical than normal. Although many investment professionals might have missed it, the euro carry trade, by most accounts, virtually dried up over the summer. As fears about a euro-zone break-up receded, the prospects for a downward drifting euro, a key […]
The decline of the dollar
In: Uncategorized
9 Nov 2012This Perspective column was first published in Monday’s edition of Fund Strategy. The striking thing about the dollar is not that many see its pre-eminent position as under threat but that its dominance has lasted so long. In many respects the global monetary system is still shaped by the international settlement that followed the second […]
- Tags: America, Fund Strategy
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